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MRC Biostatisitics Unit course on Advanced Bayesian Modelling


Advanced Bayesian Modelling with BUGS

Wednesday 18th - Thursday 19th May 2016

Two day course by: Dr Christopher Jackson, Dr Robert Goudie & Dr Anne Presanis, from MRC Biostatistics Unit

Course Aims

This course is designed for statisticians who want to improve their command of the BUGS modelling software. We will assume a previous knowledge of BUGS to the level of our companion course Introduction to Bayesian statistics using BUGS, or equivalently the first few chapters of The BUGS Book. Through a mixture of lectures and practical exercises, participants will learn how the BUGS language can be used to build models that represent the complexities of real data.

The WinBUGS, OpenBUGS and JAGS software and their R interfaces will all be supported.

Course Outline

Day 1

  • Recap of Bayesian inference and principles of BUGS: graphical models.
  • Missing data.
  • Measurement error.
  • Censoring, truncation and defining new distributions.
  • Hierarchical models, meta-analysis and prior distributions.

Day 2

  • Complex hierarchical models, model checking and robustness.
  • Evidence synthesis: network meta-analysis and general synthesis.
  • Model checking in evidence synthesis: conflict and bias.

Throughout we emphasise thoughtful choices of prior distribution, and checking and comparing fitted models.

Much of the course material is based on The BUGS Book (Lunn et al., 2013), which is provided with the course fee.

Target audience

Statisticians working in any application area who are familiar with Bayesian modelling and the BUGS or JAGS software.

Course requirements

Participants should bring a laptop with their preferred BUGS platform installed. The practical exercises will be made available to download a week or two in advance of the course.

Registration is now open

Posted on 27/04/2016

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